Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 234.171453 263.805834 296.651976 335.918916 381.794380 433.948158 498.084913
2025-02-23 185.461882 223.389677 269.096351 328.856641 405.853007 502.997082 636.905101
2025-03-02 164.259562 206.872129 261.211451 336.824347 441.324005 583.739998 798.062143
2025-03-09 146.671882 191.153816 250.420010 337.059090 463.797870 647.951796 946.714037
2025-03-16 131.157407 175.690673 237.167209 330.758033 474.338744 694.717104 1076.628109
2025-03-23 120.835124 165.923611 230.206195 331.800113 494.769163 758.351090 1245.585229
2025-03-30 110.244031 154.514387 219.347489 325.095369 501.326055 799.642959 1383.675953
2025-04-06 102.512733 146.469606 212.496105 323.484914 515.407838 855.170280 1559.811843
2025-04-13 92.920752 134.728480 198.759524 308.935550 505.045576 864.797747 1646.540888
2025-04-20 89.962135 132.915009 200.366749 320.003516 541.211802 966.736986 1952.037437
2025-04-27 87.721353 131.984069 203.205561 333.354857 583.301621 1087.807929 2335.528192
2025-05-04 83.380739 127.279059 199.299900 334.113432 601.150536 1162.062666 2628.818374
2025-05-11 77.765626 120.179500 190.932281 326.150827 601.312671 1199.998043 2846.114004
2025-05-18 72.941165 114.082259 183.835192 319.892316 604.271511 1245.281731 3100.626000
2025-05-25 70.711165 112.215803 183.992788 327.558227 637.781528 1368.908582 3629.609103
2025-06-01 67.589896 108.566711 180.611158 327.787091 654.932931 1456.139190 4082.070320
2025-06-08 63.876374 103.620941 174.452579 321.698425 656.808214 1504.567730 4425.830903
2025-06-15 61.399906 100.714456 171.857393 322.705429 675.395012 1601.748266 4988.228334
2025-06-22 58.186577 96.272190 166.018680 316.225966 675.010949 1646.194410 5372.489025
2025-06-29 55.804667 93.209016 162.611345 314.669466 686.627214 1728.186310 5952.282961
2025-07-06 52.162038 87.610706 153.894102 300.604745 664.610857 1704.905205 6069.243955
2025-07-13 51.508725 87.564669 156.126916 311.304495 708.574124 1896.840827 7281.774000
2025-07-20 51.085990 87.920674 159.178431 324.207785 760.724388 2130.907287 8884.673658